Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds Comparison - Us Open
Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds Comparison - Us Open
Competition: Us Open
Sport: Tennis
Region: ATP
Odds
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About this match
Recent form makes this US Open opener look trickier than the early market suggests. Safiullin has two wins from his last five matches, while Alcaraz has only one – a victory over Otto Virtanen. Alcaraz's other four results include two defeats to Nadal, a loss to Federer and a loss to Sinner, a run that sits awkwardly beside his status as the clear favourite in the US Open odds.
Their previous meetings number just two, too small a sample to carry much significance. On outdoor hard courts, recent match sharpness tends to matter more than in some other settings, and on that front Safiullin has a slight edge: his wins over Wawrinka and Ofner came against solid competition. Alcaraz, by contrast, has accumulated losses against top names, and the gap between his price and his recent results is the most interesting piece of this matchup.
None of that changes the shape of the market – Alcaraz remains the lower-priced player and Safiullin the higher-priced one. But it does mean the opening prices are not fully supported by the results on the board. Safiullin's two wins may be enough to make this competitive if he can carry that form onto the court, while Alcaraz's response to a difficult stretch will likely decide how one-sided things become. With so few prior meetings to guide expectations, the recent play is the strongest available signal.