Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds Comparison - Us Open

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds Comparison - Us Open

Competition: Us Open

Sport: Tennis

Region: ATP

Odds

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About this match

Carlos Alcaraz is the clear favourite in the initial prices for this US Open meeting, but the recent results do not look quite as one-sided. The Spaniard has won only two of his last five matches, closing that stretch with consecutive losses to Rafael Nadal. Tommy Paul, by contrast, has three wins from five, even if his defeat to Coleman Wong was an unexpected detour in an otherwise solid run.

Familiarity is part of the context here. These two have already met eight times, which gives Paul a meaningful reference point as the higher-priced player; he is not facing Alcaraz cold. The US Open odds put Alcaraz comfortably ahead, but in a Grand Slam setting on outdoor hard courts, that head-to-head history and the recent form contrast make the early picture more layered than the favourite's price alone might suggest.

What stands out is the gap between the betting line and the recent form figures: the former sides firmly with Alcaraz, the latter slightly with Paul. Eight prior meetings and a Grand Slam stage on hard courts mean there is more to weigh here than a single look at the favourite's price.

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