Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe Odds Comparison - ATP Tokyo

Teams: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Competition: ATP Tokyo

Sport: Tennis

Region: ATP

Starts (UTC):

Match status: Not started

Odds

Typical 1X2 prices (averages across listed bookmakers): home ~4.25, away ~1.22.

Markets with odds data in this feed: 1X2, ah, ou.

BookmakerKei NishikoriFrances Tiafoe
Bet3654.331.22
Bwin4.401.20
Draftkings4.021.25

H2H

Recent form and head-to-head for Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe (static summary for search engines).

Recent matches — Kei Nishikori

  • 28 Aug 2026 · Kei Nishikori — 4-6,6-7 — Rei Sakamoto
  • 26 Aug 2026 · Kei Nishikori — 6-4,6-4 — Michael Antonius
  • 25 Aug 2026 · Sebastian Ofner — 1-6,6-2,2-6 — Kei Nishikori
  • 13 Aug 2026 · Marco Trungelliti — 4-6,7-5,6-3 — Kei Nishikori
  • 11 Aug 2026 · Kei Nishikori — 6-4,1-6,7-5 — Francisco Comesana
  • 1 Aug 2026 · Michael Zheng — 6-3,6-1 — Kei Nishikori
  • 29 Jul 2026 · Rafael Jodar — 6-3,6-2 — Kei Nishikori
  • 27 Jul 2026 · Kei Nishikori — 6-7,6-3,6-4 — Juncheng Shang
  • 22 Apr 2026 · Jack Kennedy — 6-3,6-7,6-0 — Kei Nishikori
  • 21 Apr 2026 · Kei Nishikori — 6-2,6-3 — Colton Smith

Recent matches — Frances Tiafoe

  • 11 Sept 2026 · Frances Tiafoe — 6-4,3-6,3-6,5-7 — Ben Shelton
  • 8 Sept 2026 · Frances Tiafoe — 5-7,3-6,7-5,6-3,7-6 — Alex Michelsen
  • 6 Sept 2026 · Daniil Medvedev — 6-7,4-6,6-7 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 4 Sept 2026 · Valentin Vacherot — 4-6,2-6,4-6 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 2 Sept 2026 · Rei Sakamoto — 3-6,6-7,5-7 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 1 Sept 2026 · Martin Damm — 4-6,6-4,6-3,3-6,4-6 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 23 Aug 2026 · Arthur Fils — 6-3,1-6,6-0 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 22 Aug 2026 · Brandon Nakashima — 5-7,3-6 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 21 Aug 2026 · Lorenzo Musetti — 6-7,5-7 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 20 Aug 2026 · Frances Tiafoe — 6-3,6-4 — Felix Auger Aliassime

Head to head

  • 23 Oct 2018 · Frances Tiafoe — 6-7,7-5,2-6 — Kei Nishikori

About this match

Four wins from five matches each — and yet the early prices put a wide gap between them. That is the tension at the centre of this ATP Tokyo matchup: the form lines look almost identical, while the market treats one player as a heavy favourite and the other as a clear underdog.

Look at who those wins came against. Frances Tiafoe's recent run includes victories over Ben Shelton and Daniil Medvedev, with a single defeat to Alex Michelsen. Kei Nishikori's four wins came against Michael Antonius, Sebastian Ofner, Marco Trungelliti and Francisco Comesana, and his loss was to Rei Sakamoto. The same 4-1 shape, but a different weight behind the results.

The head-to-head offers little to work with — one previous meeting on record, too thin a sample to carry much meaning on its own.

Outdoor hard court generally keeps the serve-and-return balance fairly even, which makes the quality of recent opposition more telling than the raw win count. Nishikori's results suggest he is competing well; Tiafoe's suggest he is beating players at the top of the game.

The ATP Tokyo odds frame Tiafoe as the lower-priced player, and the recent results do not push against that. Whether the gap is quite as wide as the market implies is a separate question — one the match itself will settle.

Other matches in ATP Tokyo

Tennis – ATP