Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez Odds Comparison - ATP Paris
Teams: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez
Competition: ATP Paris
Sport: Tennis
Region: ATP
Starts (UTC):
Match status: Not started
Odds
Typical 1X2 prices (averages across listed bookmakers): home ~1.34, away ~3.24.
Markets with odds data in this feed: 1X2, ah, ou.
| Bookmaker | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Sebastian Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| Bwin | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| Draftkings | 1.36 | 3.15 |
| Fonbet | 1.35 | 3.15 |
Info
Round: 24
H2H
Recent form and head-to-head for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez (static summary for search engines).
Recent matches — Daniel Merida Aguilar
- 28 Oct 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 6-7,1-6 — Daniil Medvedev
- 8 Oct 2026 · Botic Van De Zandschulp — 1-6,6-3,6-4 — Daniel Merida Aguilar
- 19 Sept 2026 · Alejandro Tabilo — 7-5,3-6,3-6 — Daniel Merida Aguilar
- 4 Sept 2026 · Alex Michelsen — 7-6,6-4,6-3 — Daniel Merida Aguilar
- 2 Sept 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 6-7,6-2,6-4,6-4 — Andrey Rublev
- 30 Aug 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 6-4,6-4,6-2 — Marton Fucsovics
- 18 Aug 2026 · Taylor Fritz — 6-3,6-4 — Daniel Merida Aguilar
- 16 Aug 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 6-3,6-2 — Zizou Bergs
- 14 Aug 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 3-6,6-1,6-1 — Marin Cilic
- 11 Aug 2026 · Daniel Merida Aguilar — 3-6,2-6 — Learner Tien
Recent matches — Sebastian Baez
- 1 Nov 2026 · Sebastian Baez — 2-6,4-6 — Tomas Machac
- 31 Oct 2026 · Sebastian Baez — 7-6,7-5 — Damir Dzumhur
- 24 Oct 2026 · Sebastian Baez — 3-6,6-3,3-6 — Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 20 Oct 2026 · Pierre-Hugues Herbert — 6-3,6-4 — Sebastian Baez
- 10 Oct 2026 · Sebastian Baez — 4-6,6-7 — Valentin Vacherot
- 8 Oct 2026 · Marcos Giron — 6-1,3-6,4-6 — Sebastian Baez
- 1 Oct 2026 · Juncheng Shang — 5-7,6-3,7-5 — Sebastian Baez
- 23 Sept 2026 · Sebastian Baez — 5-7,5-7 — Jenson Brooksby
- 31 Aug 2026 · Brandon Nakashima — 6-2,6-1,6-0 — Sebastian Baez
- 25 Aug 2026 · Hugo Grenier — 5-7,6-7 — Sebastian Baez
About this match
Sebastian Baez enters as the higher-priced underdog, a position that sits awkwardly beside a recent record of one win in five. That lone victory came against Damir Dzumhur, while the losses include Tomas Machac, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Valentin Vacherot. Daniel Merida Aguilar carries the same one-win-in-five recent mark, yet the ATP Paris odds make him the clear lower-priced favourite.
That gap between identical form and a clear price split is the main pre-match tension. Merida Aguilar's run includes a win over Botic Van De Zandschulp and losses to Daniil Medvedev, Alejandro Tabilo, Alex Michelsen and Andrey Rublev. Baez's sequence has a similar single positive result, so neither player arrives with much recent momentum.
There is no head-to-head record to separate them. On hard court, the first odds and the recent results are the clearest reference points. Baez's underdog status is therefore built more on the price than on a visible form advantage; Merida Aguilar's favouritism rests on the early assessment despite the same win count. With no direct meetings and matching recent totals, the prices are doing most of the separating.