Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Odds Comparison - ATP Lyon

Teams: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti

Competition: ATP Lyon

Sport: Tennis

Region: ATP

Starts (UTC):

Match status: Not started

Odds

Typical 1X2 prices (averages across listed bookmakers): home ~3.31, away ~1.33.

Markets with odds data in this feed: 1X2, ah, ou.

BookmakerMatteo ArnaldiLorenzo Musetti
Bwin3.251.33
Draftkings3.391.32
Fonbet3.301.33

Info

Round: 25

H2H

Recent form and head-to-head for Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti (static summary for search engines).

Recent matches — Matteo Arnaldi

  • 10 Oct 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 5-7,4-6 — Taylor Fritz
  • 8 Oct 2026 · Bernard Tomic — 3-6,1-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 3 Oct 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 7-6,6-1 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 30 Sept 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 2-6,6-4,6-4 — Rei Sakamoto
  • 31 Aug 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 7-5,3-6,2-6,6-7 — James Duckworth
  • 15 Aug 2026 · Martin Landaluce — 6-4,4-6,6-4 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 7 Aug 2026 · Tallon Griekspoor — 3-6,6-4,6-3 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 5 Aug 2026 · Fabian Marozsan — 5-7,6-2,4-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 16 Jul 2026 · Damir Dzumhur — 7-6,6-7,7-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 15 Jul 2026 · Federico Agustin Gomez — 3-6,7-5,3-6 — Matteo Arnaldi

Recent matches — Lorenzo Musetti

  • 9 Oct 2026 · Yi Zhou — 7-6,3-6,7-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 3 Sept 2026 · Dane Sweeny — 3-6,6-1,6-2,6-2 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 1 Sept 2026 · Arthur Fery — 3-6,3-6,5-7 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 21 Aug 2026 · Lorenzo Musetti — 6-7,5-7 — Frances Tiafoe
  • 20 Aug 2026 · Jaime Faria — 5-7,2-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 18 Aug 2026 · Michael Zheng — 1-6,3-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 16 Aug 2026 · Daniel Altmaier — 4-6,2-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 6 Aug 2026 · Rafael Jodar — 6-4,6-3 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 5 Aug 2026 · Nicolas Mejia — 6-7,2-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 31 Jul 2026 · Rafael Jodar — 1-6,6-1,6-4 — Lorenzo Musetti

Head to head

  • 14 Jan 2025 · Matteo Arnaldi — 6-7,6-4,6-7,3-6 — Lorenzo Musetti
  • 19 Jul 2023 · Lorenzo Musetti — 6-3,4-6,7-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 14 May 2023 · Lorenzo Musetti — 6-4,6-4 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 9 Apr 2019 · Matteo Arnaldi — 2-6,0-6 — Lorenzo Musetti

About this match

Lorenzo Musetti is the clear favourite for this Lyon meeting with Matteo Arnaldi, and the early prices put a wide gap between the two Italians. Recent results tell a tighter story: three wins from five for the favourite, two from five for the higher-priced player.

Arnaldi's sequence reads Taylor Fritz, Bernard Tomic, Carlos Alcaraz, Rei Sakamoto, James Duckworth — two wins, three defeats, and a spread of opponents that makes the bare count difficult to weigh on its own. Musetti's five are uneven in a different way, with victories over Dane Sweeny, Arthur Fery and Jaime Faria sitting alongside losses to Yi Zhou and Frances Tiafoe.

Four previous meetings give the pair a working familiarity, a deeper sample than most early-round head-to-heads offer, though the record by itself rarely explains a price split this wide.

The setting is outdoor clay during the clay-court swing, where longer exchanges and patience across a match tend to carry more weight than on quicker surfaces. Both players are in the middle of that run of clay events, so the conditions are not a novelty for either. How much the surface narrows the distance implied by the ATP Lyon odds is the part the match itself has to answer.

Other matches in ATP Lyon

Tennis – ATP