Ligue 1 results paint a picture of a league that consistently operates on knife-edge margins and a strong homefield edge - rather than the kind of chaotic goal-fests you might expect.
Instead of harping on about average total goals let's take a closer look at how matches are really decided.
You see an awful lot of Ligue 1 fixtures that are settled by a single goal.
That's got all sorts of implications for:
The league's got a clear statistical tilt towards tight, low-scoring results rather than massive blowouts.
More often than not the winning scoreline falls into one of the narrowest margins possible: 1:0 - a winner that fits neatly with Ligue 1's low-risk, low-reward result profile.
When you look at Ligue 1, one thing is clear: home teams tend to come out on top more often than not, especially against their own fans in the stands.
As a result:
All this has a big impact on the way the odds are priced up:
Big wins - 3 or more goals difference - are few and far between in Ligue 1, a lot less common than in the Bundesliga, for instance.
That's got all sorts of implications for:
Ligue 1 results are all about low-risk, low-reward - not high-stakes drama.
Clean sheets play a key structural role in Ligue 1:
This has an impact on the way Bookmakers price up No BTTS markets in the top tier matches.
Ligue 1's seen some big name champions in recent years:
PSG's dominance of the league has skewed the odds for years, making title bets a lot more predictable than most years.
Even in a league that's all about tight margins, your star players can still have a big impact on result expectations:
When these guys are on form, you can bet on them having a real impact on the way the odds are priced up.
Ligue 1 is:
It's not a league that's all about drama and upsets like some other competitions. It's a league that's all about the probabilities.