Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Arnaldi Odds Comparison - ATP Tokyo
Teams: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Arnaldi
Competition: ATP Tokyo
Sport: Tennis
Region: ATP
Starts (UTC):
Match status: Not started
Odds
Typical 1X2 prices (averages across listed bookmakers): home ~1.04, away ~11.07.
Markets with odds data in this feed: 1X2, ah, ou.
| Bookmaker | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.05 | 11.00 |
| Draftkings | 1.04 | 11.20 |
| Fonbet | 1.04 | 11.00 |
H2H
Recent form and head-to-head for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Arnaldi (static summary for search engines).
Recent matches — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 1 Oct 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 7-6,4-6,6-1 — Alex Michelsen
- 26 Sept 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 6-3,4-6,13-11 — Taylor Fritz
- 9 Sept 2026 · Ben Shelton — 6-7,6-1,6-3,1-6,7-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 6 Sept 2026 · Tommy Paul — 4-6,3-6,4-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 4 Sept 2026 · Yibing Wu — 3-6,4-6,1-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 3 Sept 2026 · Jaime Faria — 6-4,0-6,3-6,2-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 31 Aug 2026 · Roman Safiullin — 4-6,4-6,4-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 12 Aug 2026 · Rafael Nadal — 4-0 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 8 Jun 2026 · Rafael Nadal — 0-0 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 20 May 2026 · Roger Federer — 6-3,1-1 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Recent matches — Matteo Arnaldi
- 30 Sept 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 2-6,6-4,6-4 — Rei Sakamoto
- 31 Aug 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 7-5,3-6,2-6,6-7 — James Duckworth
- 15 Aug 2026 · Martin Landaluce — 6-4,4-6,6-4 — Matteo Arnaldi
- 7 Aug 2026 · Tallon Griekspoor — 3-6,6-4,6-3 — Matteo Arnaldi
- 5 Aug 2026 · Fabian Marozsan — 5-7,6-2,4-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
- 16 Jul 2026 · Damir Dzumhur — 7-6,6-7,7-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
- 15 Jul 2026 · Federico Agustin Gomez — 3-6,7-5,3-6 — Matteo Arnaldi
- 30 Jun 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 6-3,1-6,6-7,3-6 — Quentin Halys
- 23 Jun 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 4-6,2-6 — Giles Hussey
- 21 Jun 2026 · Matteo Arnaldi — 3-6,6-4,6-4 — Toby Samuel
Head to head
- 9 Mar 2024 · Matteo Arnaldi — 7-6,0-6,1-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
- 4 Sept 2023 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 6-3,6-3,6-4 — Matteo Arnaldi
About this match
Five wins from five matches, and the list of opponents carries as much weight as the number. Alcaraz's run includes victories over Taylor Fritz, Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul, with Alex Michelsen and Yibing Wu also beaten along the way. A clean sweep against that level of opposition is the strongest single fact in the pre-match picture.
Arnaldi's last five read differently: wins over Tallon Griekspoor and Fabian Marozsan, defeats to Rei Sakamoto and Martin Landaluce. Three wins from five, an up-and-down sequence rather than a settled one.
That contrast is what the first odds capture: Alcaraz as a heavy favourite, Arnaldi the higher-priced player. Two previous meetings are on record, a small enough sample that the head-to-head is more of a footnote than a guide. Form and first odds line up in the same direction here, which is not always the case when a draw opens.
Outdoor hard court in Tokyo tends to keep the serve-return balance relatively even, which leaves recent results as the most immediate reference point. For a wider view of the draw, the ATP Tokyo odds sit alongside the match data.