Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Denis Shapovalov Odds Comparison - ATP Tokyo

Teams: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Denis Shapovalov

Competition: ATP Tokyo

Sport: Tennis

Region: ATP

Starts (UTC):

Match status: Not started

Odds

Typical 1X2 prices (averages across listed bookmakers): home ~1.08, away ~7.63.

Markets with odds data in this feed: 1X2.

BookmakerCarlos Alcaraz GarfiaDenis Shapovalov
Bet3651.088.00
Bwin1.087.25

H2H

Recent form and head-to-head for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Denis Shapovalov (static summary for search engines).

Recent matches — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

  • 3 Oct 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 7-6,6-1 — Matteo Arnaldi
  • 1 Oct 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 7-6,4-6,6-1 — Alex Michelsen
  • 26 Sept 2026 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 6-3,4-6,13-11 — Taylor Fritz
  • 9 Sept 2026 · Ben Shelton — 6-7,6-1,6-3,1-6,7-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 6 Sept 2026 · Tommy Paul — 4-6,3-6,4-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 4 Sept 2026 · Yibing Wu — 3-6,4-6,1-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 3 Sept 2026 · Jaime Faria — 6-4,0-6,3-6,2-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 31 Aug 2026 · Roman Safiullin — 4-6,4-6,4-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 12 Aug 2026 · Rafael Nadal — 4-0 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 8 Jun 2026 · Rafael Nadal — 0-0 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Recent matches — Denis Shapovalov

  • 3 Oct 2026 · Denis Shapovalov — 7-5,3-6,6-4 — Alejandro Tabilo
  • 1 Oct 2026 · Denis Shapovalov — 7-5,6-1 — Sho Shimabukuro
  • 28 Sept 2026 · Hubert Hurkacz — 6-7,6-3,6-3 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 27 Sept 2026 · Adrian Mannarino — 7-6,3-6,2-6 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 25 Sept 2026 · Vit Kopriva — 2-6,3-6 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 24 Sept 2026 · Tallon Griekspoor — 4-6,6-7 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 5 Sept 2026 · Ben Shelton — 7-6,6-7,6-3,6-4 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 2 Sept 2026 · Denis Shapovalov — 6-0,6-4,7-6 — Luca Van Assche
  • 30 Aug 2026 · Miomir Kecmanovic — 4-6,6-4,4-6,1-6 — Denis Shapovalov
  • 15 Aug 2026 · Rafael Jodar — 7-5,4-6,7-5 — Denis Shapovalov

Head to head

  • 11 Mar 2025 · Denis Shapovalov — 2-6,4-6 — Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
  • 2 Jun 2023 · Carlos Alcaraz Garfia — 6-1,6-4,6-2 — Denis Shapovalov

About this match

Five wins from five for one player, four from five for the other. On recent results alone, there is little to separate Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov going into the Tokyo hard courts — even if the names on those winning runs tell a different story, with Fritz, Shelton and Paul among Alcaraz's beaten opponents, and Hurkacz and Tabilo among Shapovalov's, a single loss to Mannarino the only blemish on his record.

The early pricing draws a much harder line. Alcaraz is a heavy favourite, Shapovalov a clear higher-priced underdog, and that distance sits awkwardly beside a form comparison this close. The ATP Tokyo odds reflect expectation more than a narrow recent edge.

There is not much to take from their head-to-head. Two meetings is a small sample, and with no clear pattern emerging from it, the current run of results carries more weight than the historical one.

Outdoor hard courts usually offer a fairly balanced read between serve and return, which makes the gap between the two in the market the more striking detail. Four wins in five is the kind of form that keeps a matchup from being settled on paper, while Alcaraz's unbroken sequence is the reason his status looks so firm — and it is that sequence the tennis odds are built around as the Tokyo draw unfolds.

Other matches in ATP Tokyo

Tennis – ATP